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Market Structure

Venture Secondaries Are Becoming a "Core Liquidity Market." What Deeper Buyer Capital Means for Pricing.

A record wave of funds raised specifically to buy private, VC-backed shares is turning secondaries into a standing bid. A standing bid does two things for a shareholder — and leaves a third problem untouched.

By Earlyasset Research · Last reviewed: August 2026

9 min read

The story that keeps repeating in the venture secondary market in 2026 is not a single deal. It's the buy side. Fund after fund is being raised specifically to purchase shares in private, VC-backed companies — the largest such vehicles ever, closing one after another. Trade coverage of the latest record close described venture secondaries as having become a "core liquidity market," per AltAssets.

That phrase is worth unpacking, because a "core" liquidity market behaves differently from an opportunistic one. This piece explains what changes when dedicated buyer capital reaches record depth, why it compresses discounts on the names buyers want, what that means for you as a private-company shareholder, and — the part the headlines skip — where the deeper bid still doesn't reach.

Note: "Secondaries" in this article refers specifically to venture secondaries — sales of shares in private, VC-backed companies while the company is still private. This is distinct from PE fund secondaries, continuation vehicles, LP-stake transactions, and infrastructure or real estate secondaries, which are different markets. News coverage often groups them under one "secondaries" headline; the mechanics below are venture-specific.

Key concept

Committed capital sitting in the market is a standing bid. A standing bid makes exits more reliable (there's a buyer even when the IPO window is shut) and compresses discounts on the names buyers compete for. What it does not do is manufacture demand where none existed. Deeper capital tightens pricing where interest already concentrated — it doesn't broaden the market to the long tail on its own.

What Happened, and Why It's Structural

The specific trigger was a record fund close: a venture secondary specialist closing its seventh flagship fund at $2.3 billion, its largest to date, per AltAssets. On its own, one fund is one firm's fundraising. What makes it a market signal is that it's part of a pattern: a wave of vehicles raised expressly to buy private venture shares on the secondary market, at record size.

Why that matters is a question of market structure, not of any one manager. For most of the last decade, buying private shares on the secondary market was opportunistic. Buyers showed up deal by deal — an SPV assembled for a specific name, a crossover fund with room on its balance sheet, a family office reaching for access. There was no reliable, always-on pool of capital committed in advance to purchasing secondaries. Sellers took what demand happened to exist when they needed to sell.

Dedicated funds change that. When capital is raised in advance and committed to buying secondaries, the demand side stops being episodic and starts being continuous. That's the difference between a market that has buyers sometimes and one that has a bid standing. It's the same distinction the source coverage is pointing at with the phrase "core liquidity market" — secondaries moving from a fallback used when nothing else is available to a channel that shareholders and institutions build into the plan.

What a "Core Liquidity Market" Actually Means

A liquidity market is "core" when it's the primary place a given kind of holder goes to turn an asset into cash — not the backup. For venture shareholders, the IPO used to be that place. It isn't anymore, and hasn't been for years.

The clearest evidence is in the volumes. Per Carta's secondary market data, US VC secondary transaction value reached roughly $61.1 billion in the 12 months to June 2025, surpassing the combined value of VC-backed IPOs over the same period (about $58.8 billion). Carta described the secondary market as a "release valve" for startup liquidity pressure. When more equity turns to cash through secondaries than through public listings, "core" is an accurate description, not marketing.

This didn't happen because secondaries got glamorous. It happened because the traditional exit stayed shut. Companies are staying private far longer — often a decade or more — while employees, founders, and early investors accumulate paper wealth on a clock that doesn't wait for an IPO. The secondary market grew into the gap. Record buy-side capital is the demand side finally scaling to match that structural need.

For more on this topic

For the mechanics of how a single secondary sale actually works — from price discovery to ROFR to close — see our Shareholder IQ guide to how secondary transactions work.

Why Committed Capital Compresses Discounts

A secondary price is set by supply and demand for one specific company's shares. Shares in a private company typically trade at a discount to the last primary round — a markdown that compensates the buyer for illiquidity, information gaps, and the risk of holding until an eventual exit. The size of that discount is the clearest single readout of how much committed demand exists for a name.

When more dedicated capital competes to buy the same shares, the discount narrows. Buyers with committed funds and a mandate to deploy bid closer to the last round to win allocation, because the alternative is not deploying at all. The pricing data shows this plainly. Per Carta, the median discount on direct VC secondaries narrowed from roughly 46% below the last round in December 2023 to about 3% a year later, and by early 2025 the strongest names were changing hands at or above their most recent round.

Example

Consider a shareholder holding stock in a name that dedicated buyers want. In a thin-demand market, that stock might have cleared at a 40% discount to the last round — a $10.00 last-round reference price becoming a $6.00 secondary bid. As committed capital deepens and multiple funds compete for the same allocation, the same stock might clear at a 5% discount, or $9.50. Nothing about the company changed. The depth of the bid changed. That is the entire mechanism by which "record buy-side capital" reaches a shareholder's actual proceeds.

⚠️ A tighter discount is a market-wide average dominated by a handful of names. It is not a quote for your specific shares. The headline "discounts are near zero" describes the companies buyers are competing over — not the median private company.

What Deeper Buyer Capital Means for You as a Shareholder

Strip out the market-structure language and two things change for someone holding private shares. First, reliability: a standing bid means a sale is more likely to be possible at all, and more likely to clear on a predictable timeline, even with the IPO window shut. A market with committed buyers doesn't evaporate the moment sentiment turns the way an opportunistic one can. Second, price: on the names dedicated capital competes for, deeper demand shows up as a smaller discount — more of the last-round reference price reaching the seller.

Those are real improvements, and they're worth naming plainly. But a deeper, better-priced market is a wider set of options — not a reason to act. Whether a sale makes sense still turns on the things that were always specific to you: what share class you hold, your cost basis and tax situation, how concentrated your net worth is in one company, and whether you actually need liquidity. A more liquid market changes the terms available; it does not change whether selling is right for you.

The pricing trap deeper markets don't fix

A "3% discount to the last round" almost always references preferred stock — the class the last round priced. Most employees hold common. Behind a substantial liquidation preference stack, common is worth materially less than preferred at the same headline valuation, regardless of how tight the secondary market gets.

Deeper buyer capital compresses the discount on the class buyers are pricing. It does nothing to close the gap between what the headline discount implies and what your specific shares would actually clear at. That gap is a share-class question, not a liquidity question.

Where the Deeper Bid Doesn't Reach

Here is where we'd push back on the cleanest version of the "core liquidity market" story. Record buy-side capital is real, and it does what the mechanics above describe. But committed capital does not spread evenly across the private market. It concentrates — heavily — on a short list of names.

Our own read of the market found that roughly 86% of direct secondary volume in 2025 sat in about 20 companies. Direct secondary volume reached around $91 billion that year, but the vast majority of it moved in a handful of names — the SpaceX, Anthropic, and Databricks tier. A record fund raised to buy secondaries is, in practice, a record amount of capital chasing that same short list.

The consequence for pricing is a two-speed market. On the top-tier names, deeper capital compresses discounts to near zero and sometimes to a premium. On everything else — the median venture-backed company most shareholders actually work for — the extra capital barely registers. Committed buyer capital tightens pricing where demand already existed. It does not create demand for a company buyers weren't already competing over.

So "venture secondaries are becoming a core liquidity market" is true and incomplete at the same time. It's a core liquidity market for a specific tier of companies. For the long tail, secondaries remain thin, discounts remain wide, and record buy-side headlines describe a market a given shareholder may not actually be able to access on those terms. The maturation is real; the breadth is not there yet.

What to Check Before Reading a Tighter Market as Good News

If the "record buy-side capital" narrative makes you think your own shares just got more liquid or better-priced, four checks tell you whether that's actually true for you:

1. Is your company in the demand tier, or the long tail? The compression story applies to names dedicated buyers actively compete for. If your company isn't one of the roughly 20 that dominate volume, the market-wide discount figures don't describe your shares. Whether real, recurring secondary demand exists for your specific name is the first question.

2. What share class do you hold? Quoted discounts reference the class the last round priced — usually preferred. If you hold common behind a preference stack, the headline number overstates what you'd clear. Know your class before you anchor on any market-wide figure.

3. What's the real, all-in price? The number that matters is proceeds after the actual discount for your class, platform or intermediary fees, and taxes — not the market-wide median. A tight average discount and your net price can be far apart.

4. Can you sell at all? Your equity agreements govern this. Transfer restrictions and the company's right of first refusal (ROFR) determine whether a sale is even permitted, and on what timeline. A deep buy side doesn't override the paperwork on your own shares.

The Takeaway

Record dedicated buyer capital is a genuine structural milestone. It turns venture secondaries from an opportunistic market into one with a standing bid — more reliable exits, and tighter discounts on the names that capital competes for. For the asset class, that's maturation worth taking seriously.

But "core liquidity market" is a statement about the top of the market, not the whole of it. The deeper the buy side gets, the more it concentrates on the same short list — which means the gap between the headline and a given shareholder's reality can widen even as the market matures. The useful response isn't to read the news as a signal to sell. It's to know where your company sits, what you actually hold, and what your shares would truly clear at — and to treat a deeper market as more room to make that decision on your own terms.

Have questions about secondary market pricing?

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If you're trying to understand where your company sits in the secondary market and what your shares would realistically clear at, we'd encourage you to reach out. No commitment required.

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Earlyasset, Inc. does not provide investment advice and is not a registered investment adviser. Pricing estimates are algorithmic and do not constitute an offer to buy or sell securities. All transactions respect the company's right of first refusal (ROFR) and any transfer restrictions in your equity agreements. Direct liquidity is provided by Earlyasset Capital, LLC, a separate entity from Earlyasset, Inc.

Source note: Information about the record venture secondary fund close is based on public reporting by AltAssets as of August 2026, and venture secondary volume and pricing figures are drawn from Carta's published secondary market data (12 months to June 2025). Earlyasset is not affiliated with the fund managers referenced and has no non-public information about their vehicles. Market-wide discount and concentration figures are historical and market-level; they are not a quote or prediction for any specific company's shares. Shareholders considering a sale should consult their own legal, tax, and financial advisors.

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